Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.010741 0.012975 0.015757 0.019554 0.024725 0.031721 0.042274
2025-02-16 0.007947 0.010449 0.013980 0.019578 0.028766 0.044429 0.076507
2025-02-23 0.006474 0.008969 0.012782 0.019476 0.032083 0.058043 0.129108
2025-03-02 0.005385 0.007723 0.011490 0.018594 0.033417 0.068978 0.196462
2025-03-09 0.004687 0.006916 0.010674 0.018215 0.035488 0.083637 0.317760
2025-03-16 0.004262 0.006463 0.010340 0.018621 0.039550 0.108733 0.616841
2025-03-23 0.003880 0.006013 0.009907 0.018672 0.042804 0.136513 1.252814
2025-03-30 0.003479 0.005472 0.009197 0.017887 0.043325 0.155042 2.269749
2025-04-06 0.003183 0.005079 0.008707 0.017488 0.044888 0.182886 5.282780
2025-04-13 0.003008 0.004885 0.008586 0.017963 0.049780 0.244372 33.136664
2025-04-20 0.002919 0.004840 0.008763 0.019281 0.059004 0.379843 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002781 0.004683 0.008669 0.019826 0.065727 0.542750 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002582 0.004406 0.008318 0.019695 0.070376 0.756587 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002416 0.004180 0.008055 0.019798 0.076963 1.164233 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002260 0.003956 0.007759 0.019700 0.082671 1.800008 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002084 0.003672 0.007272 0.018805 0.082495 2.287315 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001952 0.003468 0.006955 0.018419 0.085773 3.446690 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001868 0.003359 0.006862 0.018832 0.096176 7.947922 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001778 0.003227 0.006688 0.018883 0.104173 19.693332 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001665 0.003033 0.006326 0.018087 0.103322 31.850230 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001576 0.002887 0.006076 0.017681 0.106248 83.277579 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001525 0.002823 0.006038 0.018164 0.120363 9821.002409 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001504 0.002824 0.006180 0.019502 0.150203 NaN NaN